Key Facts About the Governor’s Proposed Budget, Part 1: Voters Boost Revenues by More Than $7 Billion in 2013-14

January 17, 2013

Last week, we published our initial analysis of Governor Jerry Brown’s proposed 2013-14 budget. To highlight some of the most important aspects of this proposal — and the context for it — today we’re launching a brief chart series, Key Facts About the Governor’s Proposed Budget. This first post looks at the impact of the new revenues approved by California’s voters this past November.

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The Governor’s proposed 2013-14 budget shows that California is poised to turn the corner on years of severe budget shortfalls. One of the biggest factors contributing to this positive trajectory is voters’ approval of two revenue measures — Propositions 30 and 39 — last November. Proposition 30 increased personal income tax rates on very-high-income Californians for seven years and raised the state’s sales tax rate by one-quarter cent for four years. Proposition 39 ended a corporate tax break that primarily benefited a relatively small number of (mostly large) multistate firms.

State finance officials project that the two measures combined will raise $7.2 billion in 2013-14 (the fiscal year that begins July 1), accounting for more than 7 percent of total General Fund tax collections. In other words, had Propositions 30 and 39 not passed, 2013-14 tax collections would fall from $97 billion to less than $90 billion.

In addition to significantly lowering revenues for 2013-14, defeat of both ballot measures would have caused revenues in the current fiscal year (2012-13) to drop by nearly $6 billion. What would have been the impact of such a large revenue decline? The 2012-13 budget agreement passed last June provides an answer: Lawmakers approved roughly $6 billion in spending reductions to be implemented on January 1 of this year if voters had rejected Proposition 30, with public schools, community colleges, and universities bearing the brunt of these “trigger” cuts. (Proposition 30’s revenues were assumed in the 2012-13 spending plan; Proposition 39’s were not.) Moreover, it’s reasonable to assume that, in the absence of other revenue options, a comparable level of reductions would have been carried over to the 2013-14 fiscal year — and perhaps beyond.

Much work remains to be done in rebuilding the foundations of a strong California economy and healthy communities in the wake of the Great Recession and years of state spending cuts. But for now, thanks to California voters, the state budget has been stabilized and provides a platform for reinvesting in education and other public systems and services that are essential to all Californians.

– Scott Graves


Save the Date: Our 2013 Annual Conference Is March 14

December 11, 2012

As we move into 2013, California is poised to emerge from many years of serious budget shortfalls, while the state’s economy is beginning to recover from the Great Recession. What key questions, opportunities, and challenges does this moment present for those working toward public policies that improve the lives of low- and middle-income Californians?

Come be a part of the discussion, and find out what to expect in the next year and beyond, at the CBP’s annual conference, Turning the Corner: Restoring Balance and Reinvesting in California’s Future. The event will be held at the Sacramento Convention Center on Thursday, March 14, 2013, from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m.

We hope you’ll plan to join hundreds of the state’s leading advocates, policy experts, and community leaders at this event. Registration information will sent out via email in the coming weeks and also will be shared on this blog.

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Updated: Registration for our annual conference is now open. Sign up by February 19 to receive the early bird rate. 

– Steven Bliss


Statement: Chris Hoene on the Passage of Proposition 30

November 7, 2012

The California Budget Project released the following statement from Executive Director Chris Hoene in response to the passage of Proposition 30 at yesterday’s statewide election.

“Yesterday was a very good day for the idea of laying the groundwork for California’s future. With voters approving Proposition 30, our state has taken a major step forward in stabilizing the budget and reinvesting in education and other public systems and services that are essential to all Californians. The new revenues from Proposition 30, along with those from Proposition 39, position California to turn the corner on years of severe budget shortfalls and start rebuilding the foundations of a strong economy, healthy communities, and a high quality of life.”


New CBP Video: Proposition 30 Would Move California Toward More Broadly Shared Prosperity

November 1, 2012

In this brief video, CBP Deputy Director Alissa Anderson discusses the importance of Proposition 30 in the context of widening income inequality in California. Proposition 30, which will appear on the November 6 statewide ballot, would raise significant new revenues through temporary tax increases that would largely affect the wealthiest Californians.

This is the latest in an ongoing series of videos from the CBP highlighting key issues and trends in budget policy and what they mean for individuals, families, and communities statewide.


Proposition 39: Should Corporations Choose How They Are Taxed?

November 1, 2012

During the recent recession, when state revenues were at their lowest level as a share of the economy in more than three decades, lawmakers quietly passed a set of significant tax cuts that benefit a small number of large corporations at a cost of more than $1.5 billion a year to our state budget. Proposition 39, one of the measures on the November 6 ballot, singles out the largest and most costly of these tax cuts for public scrutiny. The CBP recently released an analysis of the measure, which would end the state’s current policy of allowing multistate corporations to choose the more favorable of two methods for determining their California income tax.

Under a system known as “optional single sales factor apportionment,” in effect since 2011, multistate corporations operating in California are allowed to choose the more favorable of two methods for determining what share of their income will be subject to state tax. Proposition 39 would change the law so that nearly all multistate firms would be required to calculate the share of their income subject to the state’s corporate income tax the same way: based on the percentage of their total sales that occur in the state. The proposed new system, called “mandatory single sales factor,” has been adopted by almost half of all US states.

Starting in 2013, Proposition 39 would result in an estimated $1 billion annually in additional state revenues, an amount expected to grow over time. From 2013-14 through 2017-18, half of these dollars would be used to fund energy efficiency and clean energy initiatives. After 2017-18, all the dollars would be deposited in the state’s General Fund. Proposition 39 is also expected to increase school funding because significant growth in General Fund revenues tends to boost the state’s minimum funding guarantee for K-12 education and community colleges.

The current system for taxing multistate corporations neither encourages firms to locate in California nor offers an incentive to hire Californians. Instead, it provides an arbitrary tax break for multistate firms by letting these corporations choose the most advantageous formula for calculating their annual tax bill. Currently, California is one of only two states that allow corporations to choose each year between single sales factor and another tax apportionment formula based on the firm’s property, payroll, and sales in the state. All other states that have adopted single sales factor have made it mandatory – either for all corporations or for certain categories of firms. States that have adopted the mandatory approach provide both a “carrot” and a “stick”: the carrot of lower taxes for firms that locate in-state and export out-of-state and the stick of higher taxes for firms that sell to the state’s market without locating a proportionate share of property and payroll there.

In the CBP’s analysis of Proposition 39, we find that the largest firms would provide the majority of Proposition 39’s new revenues. Firms with gross annual receipts over $1 billion would provide approximately 70 percent of the revenues. In a given year, only about 2 percent of all corporations doing business in California would likely be affected by the tax change.

Proposition 39 has its drawbacks: It includes an exception that specifically favors cable companies, and it dedicates a share of its revenues to specific, inflexible uses (namely, renewable and clean energy projects). Voters will need to weigh these concerns against the fact that Proposition 39 would revoke a sizeable and unnecessary corporate tax break and bring in $1 billion a year in new revenues, helping to stave off deeper cuts to California’s vital public systems and programs.

– Hope Richardson


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