Key Facts About the Governor’s Proposed Budget, Part 3: Spending Per Student Rises Due to New Revenues, But Still Faces a Long Climb Back

January 28, 2013

This is the latest in a CBP chart series highlighting some of the most important aspects of Governor Brown’s 2013-14 budget proposal and the context for it.

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State spending per K-12 student will rise in the current (2012-13) fiscal year and in 2013-14 due to voter approval of two revenue measures – Proposition 30 and Proposition 39 – last November, according to the Governor’s proposed 2013-14 budget. Yet even with this increase, per student state support for public schools will remain much lower than the 2007-08 level, after adjusting for inflation.

Why is last November’s voter approval of major revenue measures – while crucial in reversing years of declining support for public schools – not enough to return state spending per student to the level it was when the Great Recession began? As we blogged about recently, state finance officials project that Propositions 30 and 39 together will increase state General Fund revenues by nearly $6 billion in 2012-13 and by $7.2 billion in 2013-14. Because increases in General Fund revenues tend to boost the state’s minimum funding guarantee for K-12 schools and community colleges – required by Proposition 98 of 1988 – California voters’ actions in November increased state support for schools in the proposed 2013-14 budget. The Governor’s proposal estimates that state spending will go up by $1,000 per student between 2011-12 and 2013-14, after adjusting for inflation. However, even with the increased taxes from Propositions 30 and 39, General Fund revenues are projected to be $2.8 billion lower in 2013-14 than in 2007-08, without adjusting for inflation. The drop in revenues compared with six years ago, which is partially due to declining incomes during the Great Recession and several corporate tax cuts passed in recent years, helps explain why state spending per student in 2013-14 will remain so far below the 2007-08 level.

The substantial new revenues approved by voters last November help stabilize the budget and allow the state to begin reinvesting in education. Still, state K-12 spending per student is unlikely to return to pre-recession levels until General Fund revenues fully recover lost ground.

– Jonathan Kaplan


Statement: Chris Hoene on the Passage of Proposition 30

November 7, 2012

The California Budget Project released the following statement from Executive Director Chris Hoene in response to the passage of Proposition 30 at yesterday’s statewide election.

“Yesterday was a very good day for the idea of laying the groundwork for California’s future. With voters approving Proposition 30, our state has taken a major step forward in stabilizing the budget and reinvesting in education and other public systems and services that are essential to all Californians. The new revenues from Proposition 30, along with those from Proposition 39, position California to turn the corner on years of severe budget shortfalls and start rebuilding the foundations of a strong economy, healthy communities, and a high quality of life.”


New CBP Video: Proposition 30 Would Move California Toward More Broadly Shared Prosperity

November 1, 2012

In this brief video, CBP Deputy Director Alissa Anderson discusses the importance of Proposition 30 in the context of widening income inequality in California. Proposition 30, which will appear on the November 6 statewide ballot, would raise significant new revenues through temporary tax increases that would largely affect the wealthiest Californians.

This is the latest in an ongoing series of videos from the CBP highlighting key issues and trends in budget policy and what they mean for individuals, families, and communities statewide.


Proposition 39: Should Corporations Choose How They Are Taxed?

November 1, 2012

During the recent recession, when state revenues were at their lowest level as a share of the economy in more than three decades, lawmakers quietly passed a set of significant tax cuts that benefit a small number of large corporations at a cost of more than $1.5 billion a year to our state budget. Proposition 39, one of the measures on the November 6 ballot, singles out the largest and most costly of these tax cuts for public scrutiny. The CBP recently released an analysis of the measure, which would end the state’s current policy of allowing multistate corporations to choose the more favorable of two methods for determining their California income tax.

Under a system known as “optional single sales factor apportionment,” in effect since 2011, multistate corporations operating in California are allowed to choose the more favorable of two methods for determining what share of their income will be subject to state tax. Proposition 39 would change the law so that nearly all multistate firms would be required to calculate the share of their income subject to the state’s corporate income tax the same way: based on the percentage of their total sales that occur in the state. The proposed new system, called “mandatory single sales factor,” has been adopted by almost half of all US states.

Starting in 2013, Proposition 39 would result in an estimated $1 billion annually in additional state revenues, an amount expected to grow over time. From 2013-14 through 2017-18, half of these dollars would be used to fund energy efficiency and clean energy initiatives. After 2017-18, all the dollars would be deposited in the state’s General Fund. Proposition 39 is also expected to increase school funding because significant growth in General Fund revenues tends to boost the state’s minimum funding guarantee for K-12 education and community colleges.

The current system for taxing multistate corporations neither encourages firms to locate in California nor offers an incentive to hire Californians. Instead, it provides an arbitrary tax break for multistate firms by letting these corporations choose the most advantageous formula for calculating their annual tax bill. Currently, California is one of only two states that allow corporations to choose each year between single sales factor and another tax apportionment formula based on the firm’s property, payroll, and sales in the state. All other states that have adopted single sales factor have made it mandatory – either for all corporations or for certain categories of firms. States that have adopted the mandatory approach provide both a “carrot” and a “stick”: the carrot of lower taxes for firms that locate in-state and export out-of-state and the stick of higher taxes for firms that sell to the state’s market without locating a proportionate share of property and payroll there.

In the CBP’s analysis of Proposition 39, we find that the largest firms would provide the majority of Proposition 39’s new revenues. Firms with gross annual receipts over $1 billion would provide approximately 70 percent of the revenues. In a given year, only about 2 percent of all corporations doing business in California would likely be affected by the tax change.

Proposition 39 has its drawbacks: It includes an exception that specifically favors cable companies, and it dedicates a share of its revenues to specific, inflexible uses (namely, renewable and clean energy projects). Voters will need to weigh these concerns against the fact that Proposition 39 would revoke a sizeable and unnecessary corporate tax break and bring in $1 billion a year in new revenues, helping to stave off deeper cuts to California’s vital public systems and programs.

– Hope Richardson


New CBP Video: How Proposition 30 Would Both Stabilize the State Budget and Increase School Funding

October 30, 2012

In this brief video, CBP Policy Analyst Hope Richardson discusses Proposition 30, which will appear on the statewide ballot next Tuesday, and explains how the measure would achieve two important goals: stabilizing the state budget and boosting state funding for K-12 schools and community colleges.

This is the latest in an ongoing series of videos from the CBP highlighting key issues and trends in budget policy and what they mean for individuals, families, and communities statewide.


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